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Should you open it?

PackVerdict does the math so you don't have to. Live prices, verified pull rates, one clear answer.

📦
180+
Sets covered
⏱
6hr
Price refresh
🌍
6
Languages
✓
Free
Always

How it works

1

We pull live card prices

Every card in every set is priced via the Cardmarket API. Prices update every 6 hours using the lowest Near Mint listing. We support English, German, French, Spanish, Italian, and Portuguese.

2

We apply verified pull rates

Each rarity tier has a known pull rate — how many packs you need to open, on average, to find one. These come from community data: large-scale openings, surveys, and verified datasets.

3

We calculate EV per pack

For each rarity: average card price ÷ packs per pull. Sum all rarities and you get the expected value of opening one pack. Compare that to what you paid.

4

You get the verdict

Positive EV? The math says open it. Negative EV? You're better off selling sealed or buying singles. It's that simple.

The formula
EV = Σ (avg card price × pull rate) per rarity

Summed across all rarity tiers in the set

What you can do

📊

EV Calculator

Compare products across 180+ sets with live prices. See which product gives you the best cost per pack.

Browse sets →
🎯

Pull Tracker

Log your pack openings in real-time. Track your hits, session P&L, and lifetime stats across all sets.

Start tracking →
🎴

Collection

Build your portfolio of cards and sealed products. Track total value with daily price changes.

View collection →
📝

Blog

Data-driven articles on which sets to open, which products to buy, and how EV actually works.

Read articles →

Where the data comes from

Cardmarket
Card prices (EUR)
Lowest NM listings, updated every 6 hours. Supports 6 languages.
TCGPlayer
Card prices (USD)
Market price based on recent sales. Updated daily via TCGCSV.
TCGdex
Card data & images
Open-source Pokémon TCG database. Set lists, card details, artwork.
Community
Pull rates
Compiled from large-scale openings, creator data, and surveys.

Why PackVerdict exists

Every time a new set drops, the same question comes up: should I open this or sell it sealed? The information to answer that was scattered across Reddit threads, YouTube videos, and spreadsheets that went stale within days. PackVerdict puts it all in one place, keeps it current, and does the math for you.

Questions, feedback, or data corrections?

hello@packverdict.com

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